komponisto comments on The Amanda Knox Test: How an Hour on the Internet Beats a Year in the Courtroom - Less Wrong

42 Post author: komponisto 13 December 2009 04:16AM

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Comment author: komponisto 14 December 2009 08:07:26AM 1 point [-]

Ok, but given your updated estimates, it is consequently unreasonable to just dismiss psychological and interpreted physical evidence

I don't see why this kind of stuff is any more powerful than its counterparts on the other side: K & S's benign personalities, lack of criminal history, lack of motive, etc.

Comment author: Unknowns 14 December 2009 08:15:07AM 0 points [-]

That may be true. I read (I didn't pay attention to the source, it could be just a rumor for all I know) that AK sent an email to a friend, shortly after coming to Italy, saying that she had convinced a stranger to have sex with her on a train. If true that would show a dangerous kind of behavior, even though not criminal. Assuming she might be guilty (for the sake of argument) the most likely explanation would be that they were "playing around" and things got out of hand, not that anyone ever was planning to murder someone.

In any case it seems my last point stands: the evidence as it has been presented to us may be unpersuasive but that doesn't mean that the same kinds of evidence couldn't become persuasive in principle, and this may be exactly what happened in the trial.