Jack comments on The Amanda Knox Test: How an Hour on the Internet Beats a Year in the Courtroom - Less Wrong

42 Post author: komponisto 13 December 2009 04:16AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (632)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Jack 10 January 2010 10:32:46PM 0 points [-]

I assume he means studies or 'scientific' evidence (as if there were some other kind).

Comment author: DanArmak 10 January 2010 10:39:22PM 0 points [-]

The other kind is rational (Bayesian) evidence. That's what most people here mean by unqualified "evidence", I think.

Comment author: Jack 10 January 2010 11:02:36PM 0 points [-]

Scientific evidence is Bayesian evidence, no? I was just implying that I didn't think there was a special category of evidence gathering delimited as 'science'.

Comment author: Technologos 10 January 2010 11:14:37PM 0 points [-]

Best I can tell, Science is just a particularly strong form (/subset) of Bayesian evidence. Since it attempts (when done well) to control for many potentially confounding factors and isolate true likelihoods, we can have more confidence in the strength of the evidence thus obtained than we could from general observations.

Comment author: Jack 10 January 2010 11:28:57PM 0 points [-]

Yeah, though a lot of science is just building localized, domain specific ontologies (here's what kinds of fish there are, here's what kind of stars there are etc.) and I'm not sure this kind of scientific knowledge is much better than observations you or I make routinely. Also, some evidence gathering is every bit as powerful as science (or more so) and yet is rarely counted as a science ( advanced sports statistics or marketing studies for example).