I made a prediction. People challenged me on that...weakly. I responded to them, rationally and in good faith. People are voting me down because I issued a challenge they can't meet; because I hit them with a conundrum that they can't solve. I've dented pride. And, because I'm new, the humiliation they irrationally feel is doubled. How can I be trolling when all I've done is respond, amicably and on-topic, to posters' comments? Isn't it true that all the hostility is coming from their side?

"New Year's prediction: adefinitemaybe will be banned from Less Wrong. Sixty-five percent."

Why, what rule have I broken? Is there a rule about riding roughshod over wannabe thinkers intellectual shortcomings?

Mommy, the geeks won't let me sit at their table! And, because I lack the "karma" that only the geeks can issue, I can't do anything about it.

New Year Prediction: The Less Wrong community becomes so insular and inbred that its members discover that more and more of their thoughts begin to be spawned retarded. Have you people had a look at yourselves recently?