I'm sad that the post doesn't go on to say how to get matplotlib to do the right thing in each case!

I thought you wanted to sign physical things with this? How will you hash them? Otherwise, how is this different from a standard digital signature?

The difficult thing is tying the signature to the thing signed. Even if they are single-use, unless the relying party sees everything you ever sign immediately, such a signature can be transferred to something you didn't sign from something you signed that the relying party didn't see.

Of course this market is "Conditioning on Nonlinear bringing a lawsuit, how likely are they to win?" which is a different question.

Extracted from a Facebook comment:

I don't think the experts are expert on this question at all. Eliezer's train of thought essentially started with "Supposing you had a really effective AI, what would follow from that?" His thinking wasn't at all predicated on any particular way you might build a really effective AI, and knowing a lot about how to build AI isn't expertise on what the results are when it's as effective as Eliezer posits. It's like thinking you shouldn't have an opinion on whether there will be a nuclear conflict over Kashmir unless you're a nuclear physicist.

Thanks, that's useful. Sad to see no Eliezer, no Nate or anyone from MIRI or having a similar perspective though :(

The lack of names on the website seems very odd.

Don't let your firm opinion get in the way of talking to people before you act. It was Elon's determination to act before talking to anyone that led to the creation of OpenAI, which seems to have sealed humanity's fate.

This is explicitly the discussion the OP asked to avoid.

This is true whether we adopt my original idea that each board member keeps what they learn from these conversations entirely to themselves, or Ben's better proposed modification that it's confidential but can be shared with the whole board.