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FAWS comments on New Year's Predictions Thread - Less Wrong
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No, there is a reasonable (IMO >1%) chance China could overtake the USA or EU in the next ten years.
I'm a little confused what you're predicting. China is already the 2nd biggest economy, my understanding was, unless the EU is counted as a single economy. So your 99% prediction is actually 'China will not become the world's largest economy and will remain #2/#3'?