orthonormal comments on New Year's Predictions Thread - Less Wrong

18 Post author: MichaelVassar 30 December 2009 09:39PM

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Comment author: orthonormal 02 January 2011 04:32:00PM 0 points [-]

Considering that the bet includes "not destroying the world", the only fair way to do this type of bet (for money) is for you to give the other party $X now, and for them to give you $Y later if you turn out to be correct.

Comment author: Unknowns 04 January 2011 08:04:01AM 1 point [-]

That's exactly what happened; I gave Eliezer $10, and he will pay me $1000 when I win the bet.