MatthewB comments on Open Thread: January 2010 - Less Wrong
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I need to read those links... I'll probably have to edit this as soon as I do...
Obviously, I did need to edit it. This is just a strange form of Modus Tollens except with a probabilistic thingy thrown in (pardon the technical term). Obviously, I need to go back and re-read the article again, because I am not seeing what they were talking about