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JulianMorrison comments on Less Wrong Q&A with Eliezer Yudkowsky: Video Answers - Less Wrong
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On UFAI, you should liaise with Shane Legg, his recent estimate for brain-structure-copying AI of human level but not subject to FAI style proofs - he puts the peak chance around 2028. This would be AI that duplicates brain algorithms with similar conventional AI algorithms, not a neuron-for-neuron copy.