Alicorn comments on Normal Cryonics - Less Wrong
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Where did that number come from and what does it refer to?
Actuarial tables, odds of death for a two year period for someone in their twenties (unless I misread the table, which is not at all impossible).
It's really that likely? Can I see the tables? The number sounds too pessimistic to me.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/table4c6.html
Looks like it should be 1/1000 for two years to me.
It should be around 1 in 400 for males in their 20s and 1 in 1000 for females in their 20s.