RobinZ comments on Advancing Certainty - Less Wrong

34 Post author: komponisto 18 January 2010 09:51AM

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Comment author: RobinZ 18 January 2010 10:38:47PM 2 points [-]

With all the caveats, I'd guess somewhere south of one in ten thousand. I would expect the biggest terms by far in the error rate to be:

  1. User error.

  2. Design fault.

  3. Mechanical failure (e.g. solder bump fracture, display damage).

I'd like to know some estimates of probability that high-energy radiation can affect a calculation, but pretty much everything after 1 is highly unlikely.