RobinZ comments on Advancing Certainty - Less Wrong

34 Post author: komponisto 18 January 2010 09:51AM

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Comment author: RobinZ 19 January 2010 03:22:52AM *  0 points [-]

The parallel calculation would be

P(L) = p * P_calculated + (1-p) * P_typical

I don't put P_typical very high.

Meta point: I think you might be stopping at the first good answer.

Okay, I'll grant you that one. I'm still promoting my original idea to a top-level post.

Edit: ...in part because I would like more eyes to see it and provide feedback - I would love to know if it has some interesting faults.

Edit: Here it is.