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ChristianKl comments on Privileged Snuff - Less Wrong
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The fact that nature is banging particles at higher energies together should make it easy to get the million statements together. In 2011 no black hole will form because of two particles banging together with that amount of energy. In 2012 no no black hole will form because of two particles banging together with that amount of energy. ... In 1000012 no no black hole will form because of two particles banging together with that amount of energy.
There you have a million predictions and I'm certain that they are all true.
These predictions are very much not independent.
But they're not independent!
Why wouldn't a black hole form because of a high energy particle collision?
No black hole destroyed earth in the last million years.
This is chiefly convincing because the Earth is more than a million years old, and has almost certainly been struck by ultra-high-energy cosmic rays at an average rate close to once a year for the most recent million years.