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dclayh comments on Open Thread: February 2010, part 2 - Less Wrong
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Certainly I'd think Eliezer (or anyone) would have much more trouble with an AI-box game if he had to get one person to convince another to let him out.
Eliezer surely would, but the fact observers being surprised was the point of an AI box experiment.
In short non-technical and not precisely accurate summary, if people can be surprised once when they were very confident and can then add on extra layers and be as confident as they were before one time they can do it forever.