ata comments on Open Thread: March 2010, part 3 - Less Wrong
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Comments (254)
That... doesn't sound right at all. It does sound like how people intuitively think about proof/reasoning (even people smart enough to be thinking about things like, say, set theory, trying to overturn Cantor's diagonal argument with a counterexample without actually discovering a flaw in the theorem), and how we think about debates (the guy on the left half of the screen says something, the guy on the right says the opposite, and they go back and forth taking turns making Valid Points until the CNN anchor says "We'll have to leave it there" and the viewers are left agreeing with (1) whoever agreed with their existing beliefs, or, if neither, (2) whoever spoke last). But even if our current formal understanding of reasoning is incomplete, we know it's not going to resemble that. Yes, Bayesian updating will cause your probability estimates to fluctuate up and down a bit as you acquire more evidence, but the pieces of evidence aren't fighting each other, they're collaborating on determining what your map should look like and how confident you should be.
Why would we build AGI to have "pet truths", to engage in rationalization rather than rationality, in the first place?
Yeah. So if one guy presents only evidence in favor, and the other guy presents only evidence against, they're adversaries. One guy can state a theory, show that all existing evidence supports it, and thereby have "proved" it, and then the other guy can state an even better theory, also supported by all the evidence but simpler, thereby overturning that proof.
We wouldn't do it on purpose!