simplicio comments on Book Club Update and Chapter 1 - Less Wrong

15 Post author: Morendil 15 June 2010 12:30AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Article Navigation

Comments (79)
Tags: study_group

Comments (79)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Morendil 15 June 2010 12:32:09AM 3 points [-]

Questions for the first part of Chapter 1:

  • Compare Jaynes' framing of probability theory with your previous conceptions of "probability". What are the differences?
  • What do you make of Jaynes' observation that plausible inference is concerned with logical connections, and must be carefully distinguished from physical causation?

(If you can think of other/better questions, please ask away!)

Comment author: simplicio 16 June 2010 06:38:10PM 1 point [-]
  • Compare Jaynes' framing of probability theory with your previous conceptions of "probability". What are the differences?

Probability is a 1-to-1 mapping of plausibilities onto real numbers, as opposed to an objective thing waiting to be discovered, mind-independently.

  • What do you make of Jaynes' observation that plausible inference is concerned with logical connections, and must be carefully distinguished from physical causation?

It seems quite reasonable. His storm cloud analogy works quite well.

I was particularly impressed with the "Comments" section after the chapter.

Powered by Reddit Powered by Reddit