JoshuaZ comments on Book Club Update and Chapter 1 - Less Wrong

15 Post author: Morendil 15 June 2010 12:30AM

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Comment author: JoshuaZ 16 June 2010 11:11:22PM 1 point [-]

More detail in the protocol would be helpful. For example, do you get to repeatedly use the same bottle of the set? If so, I can do the following for a 20 trial set: Pick bottle 1. Now run through the other 19 bottles and guess for each that it is different from bottle 1. I'll be correct 10 out of 19 trials. This method generalizes in a fairly obvious fashion although it isn't clear to me if one is going to do n trials whether this is actually the optimal procedure for maximizing how often you are correct. I suspect that one can do better but it isn't clear to me how.

Comment author: JoshuaZ 17 June 2010 02:29:14PM 0 points [-]

And can the person who downvoted this please explain why they did so?