Cyan comments on Open Thread: July 2010 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: komponisto 01 July 2010 09:20PM

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Comment author: Cyan 06 July 2010 02:46:40PM 4 points [-]

I'm having trouble even seeing how a die could be biased "towards 3 and 4" under such conditions.

If the die is slightly shorter along the 3-4 axis than along the 1-6 and 2-5 axes, then the 3 and 4 faces will have slightly greater surface area than the other faces.

Comment author: Morendil 06 July 2010 02:52:33PM *  1 point [-]

Our models differ, then: I was assuming a strictly cubic die. So maybe we should also model our uncertainty over the dimensions of the (parallelepipedic) die.

But it seems in any case that we are circling back to the question of model checking, via the requirement that we should first be clear about what our uncertainty is about.

Comment author: cousin_it 06 July 2010 02:58:24PM *  0 points [-]

Cyan, I was hoping you'd show up. What do you think about this whole mess?

Comment author: Cyan 06 July 2010 05:18:27PM 1 point [-]

I find myself at a loss to give a brief answer. Can you ask a more specific question?