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Tetronian comments on Open Thread, August 2010 - Less Wrong
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That isn't Perplexed's point. Let's say that as of this moment all crows that have been observed are black, so both of his hypotheses fit the data. Why should "all crows are black" be assigned a higher prior than "All crows are black except <270 pages specifying the exceptions>"? Based on cousin_it's post, I don't see any reason to do that.