gwern comments on Open Thread, August 2010 - Less Wrong
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I've read "Anthropic Shadow" a few times now. I don't think I will write a post on it. It does a pretty good job of explaining itself, and I couldn't think of any uses for it.
The Shadow only biases estimates when some narrow conditions are met:
So it basically only applies to global existential risks, and there aren't that many of them. Nor can we apply it to interesting examples like the Singularity, because that's not a random event but dependent on our development.