dv82matt comments on Open Thread, August 2010-- part 2 - Less Wrong

3 Post author: NancyLebovitz 09 August 2010 11:18PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (369)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: dv82matt 21 August 2010 09:05:33AM 0 points [-]

It is intended to illustrate that for a given level of certainty one boxing has greater expected utility with an infallible agent than it does with a fallible agent.

As for different behaviors, I suppose one might suspect the fallible agent of using statistical methods and lumping you into a reference class to make its prediction. One could be much more certain that the infallible agent’s prediction is based on what you specifically would choose.