timtyler comments on Existential Risk and Public Relations - Less Wrong
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Phew! First, my material on the topic:
http://alife.co.uk/essays/the_singularity_is_nonsense/
http://alife.co.uk/essays/the_intelligence_explosion_is_happening_now/
Then a few points - which I may add to later.
3 and 4: hardware, sure - that is improving too - just not as fast, sometimes. A machine may find a way to obtain a credit card - or it will get a human to buy whatever it needs - as happens in companies today.
6: how much time? Surely a better example would be: "perform experiments" - and experiments that caan't be minaturised and executed at high speeds - such as those done in the LHC.
7: AltaVista didn't protect us from Google - nor did Friendster protect against MySpace. However, so far Google has mostly successfully crushed its rivals.
8: no way, IMO - e.g. see Matt Ridley. That is probably good advice for all DOOMsters, actually.
Some of the most obvious safeguards are likely to be self-imposed ones:
http://alife.co.uk/essays/stopping_superintelligence/
...though a resiliant infrastructure would help too. We see rogue agents (botnets) "eating" the internet today - and it is not very much fun!
Incidentally, a much better place for this kind of comment on this site would be:
http://lesswrong.com/lw/wf/hard_takeoff/