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multifoliaterose comments on The Effectiveness of Developing World Aid - Less Wrong
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I upvoted your remark because this seems like the start of a useful conversation which has the potential to resolve my concerns.
What you say is true at present. But what about taking the long view, projecting ahead to Africa's hypothetical technological development? The question is whether Africa will develop before or after we've developed sustainable solutions. I would guess that we'll be noticeably past peak oil by the time Africa develops, but not completely sure about this, and maybe there are other future natural resource shortages to look out for?
There's a sizeable minority that believes we're at peak everything. I'm 75% certain aid to Africa will be at less than 10% of its current levels within two decades, either because we've basically dealt with the problem of resource scarcity, or because the developed world needs every scrap of fuel, food, and materiel it can hang on to.