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PaulAlmond comments on Open Thread September, Part 3 - Less Wrong
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That forthcoming essay by me ithat is mentioned here is actually online now, and is a two-part series, but I should say that it supports an evidential approach to decision theory (with some fairly major qualifications). The two essays in this series are as follows:
Almond, P., 2010. On Causation and Correlation – Part 1: Evidential decision theory is correct. [Online] paul-almond.com. Available at: http://www.paul-almond.com/Correlation1.pdf or http://www.paul-almond.com/Correlation1.doc [Accessed 9 October 2010].
Almond, P., 2010. On Causation and Correlation – Part 2: Implications of Evidential Decision Theory. [Online] paul-almond.com. Available at: http://www.paul-almond.com/Correlation2.pdf or http://www.paul-almond.com/Correlation2.doc [Accessed 9 October 2010].