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NihilCredo comments on Rationality Quotes: November 2010 - Less Wrong
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General principles. Doing things isn't ever that difficult relative to the psychological capabilities we casually assume ourselves to possess. We then fail to update correctly and include that goals are difficult rather than concluding that over long time horizons we don't work the way we very casually seem to over periods of a few minutes.
On the other hand, the universe doesn't guarantee that apocalypse is scaled to your abilities.
It's plausible that the Holocaust could have been averted if people had done more to optimize their efforts against it, but by no means guaranteed.