= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
jimrandomh comments on Does cognitive therapy encourage bias? - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (19)
While I value true knowledge, I carve out an exception for beliefs about my own capabilities, as represented by this modified version of the Litany of Tarski:
If I can X,
then I desire to believe I can X
If believing that I can not X would make it such that I could not X,
and it is plausible that I can X,
and there are no dire consequences for failure if I X,
then I desire to believe I can X.
It is plausible that I can X.
There are no dire consequences for failure if I X.
Let me not become attached to beliefs I may not want.
That doesn't seem appropiate for arbitrary X. It is the sort of thing you would have to use ordinary epistemic rationality to evaluate for a particular X.
I left out a bit of the implied procedure that goes with reciting this. You're supposed to truth-check those two lines as you say them, and stop if they aren't true, with the understanding that (as a prior probability) they usually will be.
What? Where did that prior probability come from?