Thanks for the clarification; that's quite reasonable.

I'll note, however, that your own arguments (the world's greatest physicist certified sane by the world's greatest psychiatrist...) still apply!

The point being that our "counterintuitiveness detector" shouldn't get to automatically override calculated probabilities, especially in situations that intuition wasn't designed to handle.

As for the LHC, it's worth pointing out that potential benefits also have to be factored into the expected utility calculation, a fact which I don't think I've seen mentioned in the current discussion.