Polymeron comments on A Thought on Pascal's Mugging - Less Wrong

12 Post author: komponisto 10 December 2010 06:08AM

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Comment author: Polymeron 04 May 2011 11:24:09AM 0 points [-]

The two situations are not necessarily equivalent.

See my most recent response in the Pascal's Mugging thread - taking into account the Mugger's intentions & motives is relevant to the probability calculation.

Having said that, probably the two situations ARE equivalent - in both cases an increasingly high number indicates a higher probability that you are being manipulated.