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Vladimir_Nesov comments on Solve Psy-Kosh's non-anthropic problem - Less Wrong
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Sorry, I'm just being stupid, always need more time to remember the obvious (and should learn to more reliably take it).
Edit: On further reflection, the intuition holds, although the lesson is still true, since I should try to remember what the intuitions stand for before relying on them.
Edit 2: Nope, still wrong.