As we did last year, use this thread to make predictions for the next year and next decade, with probabilities attached when practical.
Happy New Year, Less Wrong!
According to NOAA, 4 of the years from 1980 to 1997 were the hottest years so far of the century. So this summer has a 1/5 - 1/4 chance of being the hottest year of the century.
That's global temperature - I'd guess US temperature has more noise.
As we did last year, use this thread to make predictions for the next year and next decade, with probabilities attached when practical.
Happy New Year, Less Wrong!