In several places in the sequences, Eliezer writes condescendingly about "Traditional Rationality". The impression given is that Traditional Rationality was OK in its day, but that today we have better varieties of rationality available.
That is fine, except that it is unclear to me just what the traditional kind of rationality included, and it is also unclear just what it failed to include. In one essay, Eliezer seems to be saying that Traditional Rationality was too concerned with process, whereas it should have been concerned with winning. In other passages, it seems that the missing ingredient in the traditional version was Bayesianism (a la Jaynes). Or sometimes, the missing ingredient seems to be an understanding of biases (a la Kahneman and Tversky).
In this essay, Eliezer laments that being a traditional rationalist was not enough to keep him from devising a Mysterious Answer to a mysterious question. That puzzles me because I would have thought that traditional ideas from Peirce, Popper, and Korzybski would have been sufficient to avoid that error. So apparently I fail to understand either what a Mysterious Answer is or just how weak the traditional form of rationality actually is.
Can anyone help to clarify this? By "Traditional Rationality", does Eliezer mean to designate a particular collection of ideas, or does he use it more loosely to indicate any thinking that is not quite up to his level?
Traditional rationality goes back to Aristotle and is something that both Feynman and Popper rejected. Among other things, traditionality rationality is:
Popper rejected all of the above, so calling his philosophy "traditional rationality" is highly misleading. Bayesianism, on the other hand, is firmly in the tradition of Aristotle.
Popperian philosophy is not a set of rules; Popper emphasized that the truth is not manifest and that there is no road to truth.
Well, no. Popperism has been applied in many domains, including morality (which empiricist, instrumentalist, Bayesianism is pretty much silent about). See, for example, David Deutsch's "Taking Children Seriously". Also see his new book The Beginning of Infinity. As a point of logic, saying that something is used in a small domain is not a criticism that something can't be used outside that domain.
This just betrays a lack of familiarity with Popperism.
Popperian philosophy is important for individuals because it is about how knowledge is created and everybody creates knowledge. Again, I refer you to Deutsch. Also, since you mentioned capitalism, Popperian philisophy offers explanations for why capitalism is good, and it can do so because economics is another domain in which it applies :)
Lol. That is a criticism of Bayesianism, not Popperism. Bayesianism is about assigning probabilities to hypotheses and not about how to create new hypotheses. In Popperism, we don't just want to create hypotheses, we want to create explanatory knowledge. Talking about hypotheses is just another sign of instrumentalism. Popperism says that explanatory knowledge arises as conjectural solutions to problem situations. Bayesianism says knowledge is induced from data, which, as Popper argued, is impossible (And this is a very hard thing for people to get their head around because the memes of traditional rationality have seeped into all aspects of most people's thinking. Popper really is different).
It is an utter debasement of knowledge to say it is all probability. In what sense does a probability correspond to an explanation? How can you reduce the content of an explanation to a probability?
It has now been pointed out repeatedly in these forums that Popperism is not falsificationism. Bayesians: please pay attention.
Huh? What important problems did Popper and Feynman not concentrate on?
As prase said, you've been confused by the specific term used - the "Traditional Rationality" that EY was talking about isn't the actual human being that was Karl Popper, but the pop-culture version of Popper which has been a major influence on the thinking of most scientifically-literate people of the modern era.
To make an analogy: if someone asked me what "Romeo" and "Juliet" meant in Taylor Swift's song "Love Story", my answer would be quite inaccurate as a description of the play - because the "Romeo" and "Juliet" in the song aren't the two love-besotted idiots in the play, they're the stereotypical young lovers of pop culture.