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Misha comments on Foma: Beliefs that Cause Themselves to be True - Less Wrong
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Well, merely liking someone does increase P(Friendship), in that not liking someone presumably decreases it. Usually you don't become friends with people you don't like.
That's the whole point though. Merely liking someone doesn't do anything, but cause the behavior/actions that actually have an effect (pleasantries, invitations, questions). If I didn't like the person, but did everything else the same, we would be just as good of friends. I can like someone to death, but unless I show it in some way, it's useless for forming a friendship.
But only in the form that attitudes affect your actions, and these affect your friendship, as mentioned above.
It's like a wossname... markov blanket.