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fortyeridania comments on Stanislav Petrov Day - Less Wrong
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As Richard Kenneway has pointed out, it looks like you're ignoring the effects on the 99% who would die.
Also, all of the positive effects of others' deaths you're pointing out should scale. If the death of billions would reduce potential water shortages by a lot, then the death of one should reduce them by a little. The same seems true for space, other resources, war, and global warming.
Do you think the cost/benefit situation of a single death is similarly ambiguous?
See my answer here: http://lesswrong.com/lw/7t7/stanislav_petrov_day/4wt5