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Vladimir_Nesov comments on Formalizing Newcomb's - Less Wrong
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I assume it's a typo: evidential vs. causal decision theories.
Evidential decision theory wins for the wrong reasons, and causal decision theory just fails.
But evidential actually tells you not to eat the chocolate? That's a pretty spectacular failure mode -- it seems like it could be extended to not taking your loved ones to the hospital because people tend to die there.
Yeah, that was awkwardly worded, I was only referring to Newcomb.