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gwern comments on [LINK] SMBC on Confirmation Bias - Less Wrong
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Comments (29)
I agree that the small standard deviation suggests that either that doesn't happen or the people in question are much less prevalent than 10% of the population (a number I picked because I have ten fingers). I also suspect that the mechanism roystgnr identified is stronger than the mechanism I identified.
This study isn't set up to differentiate between people, which is what we would need to make a warning policy.
(I had an erroneous statement about the sample size here, which I've deleted.)
Small n? They used 819 subjects - that's bigger than pretty much any psychology cited on LW!
Hmm. That looks like a memory error on my part, as rereading it I don't see what I thought the n was (I remembered ~40). I think I saw 30 subjects, failed to multiply by 24, and it got fuzzed with the passing of time.
Thanks for the correction!