olalonde comments on Welcome to Less Wrong! (2012) - Less Wrong

25 Post author: orthonormal 26 December 2011 10:57PM

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Comment author: olalonde 25 April 2012 12:23:50AM 0 points [-]

You mean explicitly base their every day life beliefs and decisions on Bayesian probability? That strikes me as highly impractical... Could you give some specific examples?

Comment author: Nornagest 25 April 2012 01:45:20AM *  2 points [-]

As best I can tell it is impractical as an actual decision-making procedure for more complex cases, at least assuming well-formalized priors. As a limit to be asymptotically approached it seems sound, though -- and that's probably the best we can do on our hardware anyway.

Comment author: Bugmaster 25 April 2012 12:35:05AM *  0 points [-]

I thought I could, but Yvain kind of took the wind out of my sails with his post that Nornagest linked to, above. That said, Eliezer does outline his vision of using Bayesian rationality in daily life here, and in that whole sequence of posts in general.