Jonathan_Graehl comments on Extenuating Circumstances - Less Wrong

34 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 06 April 2009 10:57PM

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Comment author: Jonathan_Graehl 07 April 2009 12:27:42AM 7 points [-]

As long as holding myself responsible for bad calls doesn't become a ritual where I discharge my obligation by identifying (by hindsight) the first clue that, if more highly weighted, would have led me to victory, I agree: my failures should be examined in case there is anything I can rightly learn from them. When the reasons for an outcome are murky even in hindsight (e.g. investment losses), the risk of wrong learning is heightened.

As applied to willpower (rather than judgment), the argument works - you had better be able to understand and control your own mental state, or else no one will. But I sometimes feel that I need more than self-blame to win over my own laziness.

Comment author: MBlume 07 April 2009 12:33:58AM 2 points [-]

When the reasons for an outcome are murky even in hindsight (e.g. investment losses), the risk of wrong learning is heightened.

Having experienced a lot of disutility in the past several months as a result of many murky causes, this is a sobering thought indeed, thank you.