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James_Miller comments on Extenuating Circumstances - Less Wrong
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"A true rationalist should win, after all."
How are you defining "win"? Does it mean having the highest level of utility? If so then I don't understand the last part of your post "Incremental Progress and the Valley" in which you advise someone to RUN AWAY from this blog if they don't care about truth and need illusions to preserve their mental well-being.
In that circumstance, it would be rational to run away.