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Vaniver comments on New Year's Prediction Thread (2012) - Less Wrong
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A trustworhy friend has told me that there are two HPMOR chapters in the pipeline-- I could check the website, which is where he says he got the information, but what would be the fun in that?
There will be a US election. People will say they're sick of politics. One of the candidates will win.
I expect there will be 2 winners in the 2012 national US election with p>.99. :P