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Jack comments on New Year's Prediction Thread (2012) - Less Wrong
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Off the shelf HUD like computer (wearable display) comes out - 30%
Made by Google - 50%
Made by Apple - 40%
Other - 10 %
Um, those last three probabilities add up to 110%.
Fixed, thanks
they don't exclude each other.
I think you're underestimating other here... I think there are lots of scenarios where a tiny start-up makes a barely functional and ugly HUD a good year or two before Apple comes out with those obnoxious sunglasses with glowing apples on them that we're going to have to deal with everyone walking around wearing from here to the Singularity (or at least from here to smart contact lenses). The technology is out there though not at all mature, it's mostly a software problem now.
My main argument is that economic forces are such that major player will buy out the small ones before they go mainstream. This video just came out today, I think it confirms this line of reasoning.
http://www.engadget.com/2012/01/11/lumus-see-through-wearable-display-hands-on/
Update 2: http://www.wired.com/epicenter/2012/04/epicenter-google-glass-ar/
Update: http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/21/google-to-sell-terminator-style-glasses-by-years-end/?hp
http://www.reconinstruments.com/products/mod
http://shop.reconinstruments.com/Product/MODLive/900-00007
Available now! Looks like a win for "other". Though built on Android.
I was aware of these, but considered them 'specialized equipment"
This is closer http://inventorspot.com/articles/wearable_eyeglasses_computer_combines_cpu_and_monitor but is not see - through eyewear.
Similar products were available from this company at the end of 2010.
"Limited release" though, I think wide availability is pretty recent. They're now off the shelf to the point of being on Amazon.
HUD like computer? You mean with a wearable display?
Yes, thanks, I added clarification.