I guess I might as well roll the dice. I'm just going to throw out predictions, not give percent probabilities, because I'm not entirely certain where I'd pull the numbers out of (besides the usual place, heh).

• SOPA will pass, in the first quarter of the year, in its current form or something very much like it.
• The public outcry about SOPA will die down to negligible levels by the end of the year (say, the second half of December 2012).
• Armed hostilities between Israel and its neighbours in the Middle East will continue throughout the year, with intervals of peace (if any) lasting no longer than 3 months.
• A new chapter of HP:MoR, which would be more than two pages in length, will be posted
• Fewer than four such new chapters will be posted.
• At least one natural disaster, such as a major flood, hurricane, earthquake, or forest fire, will occur somewhere in the world
• However, no extinction-level events will occur
• Friendly AI will not be developed, and
• The Singularity will not happen
• 50% or more of the predictions on this thread, including mine, will turn out to be wrong.