Emile comments on The Savage theorem and the Ellsberg paradox - Less Wrong

13 Post author: fool 14 January 2012 07:06PM

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Comment author: Emile 14 January 2012 10:12:59PM 5 points [-]

And no matter how small a probability someone assigns to "the randomness is unfair 'cause the experimenter is a dick", picking red will yield epsilon more expected money than picking green. You need a probability of exactly zero for the choices to be equivalent.

Of course, in an abstract thought experiment as described, a probability of zero is indeed implied, but people don't pay attention to instructions, as anybody doing tech support will tell you - they invent stuff that was never said, and ignore other bits (I'm guilty of that myself - we all are, I think).

Comment author: fubarobfusco 20 January 2012 03:25:10AM -1 points [-]

If the experimenter is a dick, then both boxes contain a dagger; or, as it may be, a boot.