Quinn comments on Zeckhauser's roulette - Less Wrong

11 Post author: cousin_it 19 January 2012 07:22PM

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Comment author: Quinn 22 January 2012 06:20:07AM 0 points [-]

Actually my revised opinion, as expressed in my reply to Tyrell_McAllister, is that the authors' analysis is correct given the highly unlikely set-up. In a more realistic scenario, I accept the equivalences A~B and C~D, but not B~C.

I claim that the answers to E, F, and G should indeed be the same, but H is not equivalent to them. This should be intuitive. Their line of argument does not claim H is equivalent to E/F/G - do the math out and you'll see.

I really don't know what you have in mind here. Do you also claim that cases A, B, C are equivalent to each other but not to D?

Comment author: wuthefwasthat 22 January 2012 12:16:17PM *  0 points [-]

Oops, sorry! I misread. My bad. I would agree that they are all equivalent.