gwern comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 11 - Less Wrong
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Comments (1174)
It would discredit his entire side, their strategies, and their results, vindicating the opposite side. Oh, and obviously something would happen to Dumbledore like imprisonment, execution, exile, etc.
No, it would mean something would happen to Amelia, not Dumbledore, which is much more of a fair trade for Hermione's life. I like pedanterrific's idea about an Unbreakable Vow being involved.
Why does it mean it would happen to Amelia?
I think 75th is referring to this theory.