ITakeBets comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 11 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: Oscar_Cunningham 17 March 2012 09:41AM

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Tags: fiction fanfiction harry_potter hpmor

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Comment author: ITakeBets 23 March 2012 07:18:38PM *  11 points [-]

I will take this bet, with the following stipulations:

  • I'm putting up $30 against your $70.
  • If Harry merely mentions the debt, you don't win-- it must be a significant part of the solution. (If necessary, "significant" can be decided by a mutually agreed-upon third party.)
  • If Eliezer congratulates you for thinking of a better solution than Harry's, you don't win.
  • If for some reason Mitchell doesn't vouch for me, no one owes anyone anything.
Comment author: ArisKatsaris 23 March 2012 07:23:58PM 11 points [-]

Done.

Comment author: ITakeBets 28 March 2012 02:18:03AM 12 points [-]

Please PM paypal info.

Comment author: ArisKatsaris 28 March 2012 04:11:17PM *  10 points [-]

The money has been received, thank you!

Comment author: thomblake 29 March 2012 09:41:11PM 2 points [-]

Awesome

Comment author: [deleted] 23 March 2012 08:34:39PM 10 points [-]

You're obviously a sock puppet (not a bad one, just an anonymous one.) So I just pictured Eliezer making a sock puppet account specifically to take bets on what's going to happen in HPMoR.

My model of EY says that isn't something he would do, but I find the concept hilarious, nonetheless. (And had many giggles while imagining scheming!Eliezer posting good plot ideas he DIDN'T use under a sock account, and then swooping in as another sock to offer bets on said idea, while laughing evilly (can't ignore the Evil Laugh), and raking in the dough :P)

Comment author: MBlume 27 March 2012 07:01:27PM 8 points [-]

At Anna and Carl's wedding, I advanced a MoR prediction, which Eliezer offered to confirm/deny iff I first made bets with all present, and I won something like $50 =)

Comment author: Alicorn 27 March 2012 07:02:38PM 2 points [-]

I was present and permitted to not-bet.

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