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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 11 - Less Wrong
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The great thing about being the author is that you get to go "BUURRRNNN" seven days before everyone else.
More seriously - I don't think Aris Katsaris was being overconfident. Methods is meant to be solvable; correct solutions should snap firmly into place. The vast amount of overcomplication and hint-denial and stretching that goes on elsewhere shouldn't make people less confident if they're perceiving actual solutions, because those still snap just as firmly into place.