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CronoDAS comments on Nonmindkilling open questions - Less Wrong
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It's a bit esoteric for many people, but nobody knows whether or not the LHC will find the Higgs boson...
I don't think that's a good question. You're right that, technically, nobody knows, but my impression is that many physicists would be comfortable assigning p > 0.9 that it will.
The LHC has already collected a few sigma's worth of evidence that the Higgs boson exists. (I'm assuming find means ‘> 5 sigma’ here.)