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Jonathan_Graehl comments on Thoughts on the Singularity Institute (SI) - Less Wrong
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I've read most of that now, and have subscribed to your newsletter.
Reasonable people can disagree in estimating the difficulty of AI and the visibility/pace of AI progress (is it like hunting for a single breakthrough and then FOOM? etc).
I find all of your "it feels ridiculous" arguments by analogy to existing things interesting but unpersuasive.