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Polymeron comments on Thoughts on the Singularity Institute (SI) - Less Wrong
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I have likewise adjusted down my confidence that this would be as easy or as inevitable as I previously anticipated. Thus I would no longer say I am "vastly confident" in it, either.
Still good to have this buffer between making an AI and total global catastrophe, though!
Sure... a process with an N% chance of global catastrophic failure is definitely better than a process with N+delta% chance.