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ciphergoth comments on Glenn Beck discusses the Singularity, cites SI researchers - Less Wrong
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No, I'm referring to the fact that before the Trinity test lots of people greatly underestimated what the yield would be. Someone must surely have said "it will be a little bigger than our conventional bombs".
There's a famous story about Trinity where the scientists all bet on the blast magnitude, and a visiting general made a ridiculously huge prediction, way above what they hoped for, in order to flatter his hosts. He won; the blast was still far more powerful than his seemingly fanciful, signaling-motivated guess but he came the closest.
It will go boom and look bright. I dunno what else, I just clear the floors.