OrphanWilde comments on Regression To The Mean [Draft][Request for Feedback] - Less Wrong
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I believe that's what he was trying to address by discussing the "random component" - he omits the opposing nonrandom and controllable component. The only situation I was able to find to match this bias was in the workplace, where working harder can compensate for random components to a limited extent, but not sufficiently to erase variability altogether.
Which I guess is what should be emphasized - the distinction between the random and the nonrandom component, and their apparent convergence.